Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-07 0.532107 0.588185 0.648642 0.718825 0.798255 0.885587 0.989181
2025-09-14 0.434606 0.510369 0.598181 0.708145 0.843087 1.004460 1.213824
2025-09-21 0.379272 0.463436 0.565784 0.700699 0.875791 1.098001 1.405648
2025-09-28 0.331395 0.417308 0.525683 0.674338 0.875943 1.144257 1.535942
2025-10-05 0.309743 0.400882 0.519774 0.688980 0.928154 1.261221 1.773047
2025-10-12 0.290875 0.385571 0.512796 0.699886 0.974345 1.372635 2.014428
2025-10-19 0.273047 0.369643 0.502849 0.704547 1.010540 1.471651 2.248123
2025-10-26 0.257406 0.355178 0.493241 0.707985 1.044066 1.568732 2.489973
2025-11-02 0.244711 0.343725 0.486685 0.714761 1.082463 1.676378 2.762704
2025-11-09 0.227614 0.324461 0.466902 0.699037 1.082787 1.720897 2.929969
2025-11-16 0.217904 0.315455 0.461748 0.705588 1.119618 1.829947 3.228563
2025-11-23 0.206368 0.302823 0.449962 0.700145 1.135193 1.902866 3.468137
2025-11-30 0.197319 0.293631 0.443183 0.702820 1.165798 2.007547 3.789568
2025-12-07 0.186227 0.280538 0.429280 0.692299 1.171894 2.067521 4.029252
2025-12-14 0.176792 0.269487 0.417895 0.685055 1.182961 2.137680 4.301041
2025-12-21 0.164652 0.253335 0.397022 0.659391 1.157002 2.131724 4.402342
2025-12-28 0.160787 0.250552 0.398383 0.673647 1.208501 2.287757 4.901664
2026-01-04 0.156533 0.246839 0.397848 0.684263 1.253723 2.435974 5.409439
2026-01-11 0.151552 0.241589 0.394266 0.688800 1.287000 2.562358 5.886365
2026-01-18 0.146715 0.236305 0.390264 0.692147 1.318004 2.687282 6.383445
2026-01-25 0.142680 0.232184 0.388060 0.698742 1.356373 2.833590 6.967831
2026-02-01 0.135715 0.222545 0.375275 0.683437 1.346013 2.864348 7.232765
2026-02-08 0.132237 0.218939 0.373363 0.689814 1.383888 3.015616 7.881240